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Miskulnig, Kira, 2020. Lund in 2050 : a scenario-based approach on the development of urban sprawl and its effects on agricultural land in the municipality of Lund, Sweden. Second cycle, A2E. Uppsala: SLU, Dept. Of Landscape Architecture, Planning and Management

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Abstract

The world population increases while farmland is decreasing on a global scale. One of the core sources for the loss of agricultural land is the growth of cities. While urban sprawl is mostly associated with North America, the European Union increasingly raises awareness for the greater loss of valuable soils through development processes within its member states. The variables driving the loss of farmland differ and strongly depend on the region studied. The municipality of Lund was chosen as the case study area due to its location in an agricultural area in the south of Sweden and its strong increase in population in recent years. The main drivers identified for the area are beside the growing population, the amount of built-up area per person and governmental growth management. Possible combinations of the factors were ana-lysed and became the basis for three scenarios for the year 2050. The scenarios show possible futures depending on the focus set by the planning authorities and their ef-fects on the loss of farmland. The results show, that the municipal authorities have an important role to play in safeguarding agricultural soils. Hence taking decisions towards sustainable growth of the urban areas, can be a means to protect farmland actively. Safeguarding arable soils contributes not only to higher self-sufficiency in Swedish food production, but also to feed the growing population of the future.

Main title:Lund in 2050
Subtitle:a scenario-based approach on the development of urban sprawl and its effects on agricultural land in the municipality of Lund, Sweden
Authors:Miskulnig, Kira
Supervisor:Larsson, Anders
Examiner:Blennow, Kristina
Series:UNSPECIFIED
Volume/Sequential designation:UNSPECIFIED
Year of Publication:2020
Level and depth descriptor:Second cycle, A2E
Student's programme affiliation:NM025 EnvEuro - European Master in Environmental Science 120 HEC
Supervising department:(LTJ, LTV) > Dept. Of Landscape Architecture, Planning and Management
Keywords:urban sprawl, land-use planning, future studies, scenarios,, case study Lund (Sweden)
URN:NBN:urn:nbn:se:slu:epsilon-s-15408
Permanent URL:
http://urn.kb.se/resolve?urn=urn:nbn:se:slu:epsilon-s-15408
Subjects:Agricultural research
Landscape architecture
Language:English
Deposited On:16 Mar 2020 07:24
Metadata Last Modified:17 Mar 2020 02:02

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