Borgegård, Elias, 2026. Billionaire exodus or revenue boost? : evidence on aggregate tax effects in Norway following a wealth tax hike. First cycle, G2E. Uppsala: SLU, Dept. of Economics
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Abstract
In this thesis, I examine how the 2022 increase in the Norwegian wealth tax levy affected aggregate tax revenue. The analysis employs a differences-in-differences approach with two-way fixed effects using publicly available macroeconomic panel data spanning from 1995 to 2024. The model is estimated using three different dependent variables: total tax revenue, tax revenue from corporations, and, income and wealth tax revenue. The results are statistically insignificant, meaning that the null-hypothesis cannot be rejected. The point estimates show a small decrease in total tax revenue of -0.192 pp, a small increase of 0.524 pp on revenue from income and wealth taxation, as well as, a small decrease in the revenue from corporation taxes of -0.126 pp. This paper differentiates itself from previous research by using aggregate data rather than individual-level observations, implying that small effects are to be expected. The findings, although insignificant, show some directional similarities with previous research.
| Main title: | Billionaire exodus or revenue boost? |
|---|---|
| Subtitle: | evidence on aggregate tax effects in Norway following a wealth tax hike |
| Authors: | Borgegård, Elias |
| Supervisor: | Yeterian, Marc Paul |
| Examiner: | Ferguson, Shon |
| Series: | Examensarbete / SLU, Institutionen för ekonomi |
| Volume/Sequential designation: | 1752 |
| Year of Publication: | 2026 |
| Level and depth descriptor: | First cycle, G2E |
| Student's programme affiliation: | NK012 Political Science - Sustainable Development (BSc) , 180.0hp |
| Supervising department: | (NL, NJ) > Dept. of Economics |
| Keywords: | wealth tax, policy, Norway, differences-in-differences |
| URN:NBN: | urn:nbn:se:slu:epsilon-s-22624 |
| Permanent URL: | http://urn.kb.se/resolve?urn=urn:nbn:se:slu:epsilon-s-22624 |
| Language: | English |
| Deposited On: | 14 Aug 2026 10:03 |
| Metadata Last Modified: | 15 Aug 2026 01:03 |
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